ALL BDF TEAM 2021

Photo Credit: Tennessee Titans

BDF started as a collaboration project to identify extremely undervalued players outside of the first round. Many of our employees come from a league that starts draft pick trading on July 1st of every offseason. Between July 1st and the draft, our group chat is as active as the New York Stock Exchange. Picks going up and down, picks being traded multiple times in an afternoon, three way blockbusters, we have it all. Usually, people will pay a heavy premium for high first round picks. The embarrassment of riches that fetch a top five or so pick can look even richer if you’re able to find great value in the second, third, fourth round and beyond. That’s where our model comes in. This year we are excited to share our favorite value picks with the public! So without further ado, we present the 2021 All-BDF Team.

QB1 – Ryan Tannehill (ADP: QB10; BDF Rank: QB6)

Death, Taxes, and BDF being high on Tannehill. Tannehill has been one of the most efficient QB’s in the league since joining the Titans in 2019, and this year should be no different with the addition of Julio Jones as a 1B. The departure of Arthur Smith and his run-first approach could also spell additional volume for Tanny as well.

QB2/SFLX – Tua Tagovailoa (ADP: QB22; BDF Rank: QB12)

The Dolphins made a point to add pass catchers this offseason, signing Will Fuller in free agency and drafting Jaylen Waddle with the sixth overall pick. Additionally, they added very little talent behind starting RB Myles Gaskin. These moves potentially signal a pass heavy scheme this upcoming season. If Tua can take a step forward as a passer and fully recover from his 2019 hip injury, it could be a breakout season for the sophomore signal caller.

RB1 - DeAndre Swift (ADP: RB15; BDF Rank: RB6)

There’s a lot more going in Swift’s favor than he’s getting credit for. The Lions have quietly assembled one of the best offensive lines in the league through the use of heavy draft capital over the past five years. Detroit’s bad defense hurts Swift’s rushing prospects, but may actually lead to him seeing more targets. Offensive coordinator Anthony Lynn has a knack for getting the most out of RB’s with strong receiving skillsets.

RB2 – Chris Carson (ADP: RB18; BDF Rank: RB8)

Carson has been a solid RB2 option over the last three seasons, yet he continues to get drafted at his floor. With Carlos Hyde now in Jacksonville, Seattle’s backfield is going to be all Carson. We may finally see him break into the RB1 tier. Injuries are a concern, but Carson is worth the risk at his low-end RB2 price tag.

WR1 – AJ Brown (ADP: WR8: BDF Rank: WR2)

Brown’s ADP has slipped a bit since the Titans’ trade for Julio Jones, but Jones’ presence might not necessarily be a bad thing for the third-year stud wide out. Brown will see a lot of single coverage with defenses stretched thin between him, Julio, and Derrick Henry. Tennessee let over 200 targets leave in free agency – Jones is not going to take all of those. A change in offensive coordinator may also lead to more pass attempts.

WR2 – Tee Higgins (ADP: WR28; BDF Rank: WR11)

If it weren’t for Justin Jefferson’s historic rookie year, a lot more attention would be paid to Higgins. Amassing 900 receiving yards as a rookie is impressive; doing it with a backup QB for most of the year is downright outstanding. Higgins is likely being disrespected due to the Bengals’ drafting of Ja’Marr Chase, but don’t let that deter you. Cincinnati is going to be playing from behind a lot in 2021, meaning there should be plenty of room for Higgins, Chase, and Tyler Boyd all to get their fair share.

TE – Mike Gesicki (ADP: TE12; BDF Rank: TE7)

If you’re thinking of taking your TE late, why not give Gesicki a try? Miami’s drafting of Jaylen Waddle and signing of Will Fuller might actually be good news for the fourth-year Penn State product. Gesicki could potentially feast over the middle while defences hone in on the deep threats on the outside. Doesn’t hurt that you can grab him with one of your last picks this year.

Flex 1 – Tyler Lockett (ADP: WR20; BDF Rank: WR13)

Don’t listen to complaints about Lockett’s inconsistencies in 2020 – they’re overblown. Lockett provided double digit PPR points nine times last season. While the public’s attention turns to D.K. Metcalf, Lockett has slipped to a borderline WR3 ADP. Your WR3 scoring 8.4 points isn’t going to kill you, but your WR3 scoring 40 will almost undoubtedly win you a given week.

Flex 2 – Corey Davis (ADP: WR54; BDF Rank: WR21)

Davis’ ADP almost seems like a mistake. He put together the best season of his career in 2020, and was rewarded with a $37.5 Million contract and an alpha role with the Jets. Yet, he’s being drafted below Henry Ruggs. Elijah Moore may be a star one day, but as of now, Davis is the best receiver in this group.