OVR POWER RANKINGS

The Big Data Football model uses Value Over Replacement to rank players. In our case, Value Over Replacement measures the fantasy point projection of an individual player over the fantasy point projection of the worst possible starter at that position.

But enough nerd talk. If you want to see our work, check out THE MODEL. If you just want to copy the answers, see our OVR Power Rankings* below.

*This particular set of rankings uses 10 Team / 1 QB / 2 RB / 2 WR / 1 TE / 1 FLX. Our interactive calculator is coming soon, and will allow you to adjust those settings per your league’s preferences, altering the data slightly.

RankPlayerTeamPosPos RankFptsVOR
1Christian MccaffreyCARRBRB1376.3215.0
2Derrick HenryTENRBRB2368.5207.2
3Alvin KamaraNORRBRB3353.9192.5
4Aaron JonesGNBRBRB4350.6189.3
5Dalvin CookMINRBRB5344.0182.7
6Davante AdamsGBWRWR1361.7182.5
7Travis KelceKCTETE1292.8164.2
8Darren WallerLVRTETE2283.3154.8
9D'Andre SwiftDETRBRB6309.7148.4
10Austin EkelerLACRBRB7303.2141.8
11A.J. BrownTENWRWR2320.6141.4
12D.K. MetcalfSEAWRWR3317.3138.2
13Chris CarsonSEARBRB8290.2128.9
14Stefon DiggsBUFWRWR4307.2128.1
15Joe MixonCINRBRB9284.9123.5
16Justin JeffersonMINWRWR5297.5118.4
17Calvin RidleyATLWRWR6296.7117.6
18George KittleSFTETE3245.8117.2
19Ezekiel ElliottDALRBRB10278.0116.7
20Tyreek HillKCWRWR7293.3114.1
21Antonio GibsonWASRBRB11273.0111.7
22Saquon BarkleyNYGRBRB12272.5111.2
23Nick ChubbCLERBRB13270.5109.1
24Najee HarrisPITRBRB14265.9104.6
25DeAndre HopkinsARIWRWR8280.5101.3
26Julio JonesTENWRWR9278.899.7
27Keenan AllenLACWRWR10274.094.9
28Mark AndrewsBALTETE4219.591.0
29Tee HigginsCINWRWR11269.690.5
30T.J. HockensonDETTETE5217.889.2
31Myles GaskinMIARBRB15250.288.9
32Jonathan TaylorINDRBRB16245.784.3
33James RobinsonJAXRBRB17245.584.2
34Robert WoodsLARWRWR12262.082.8
35Tyler LockettSEAWRWR13260.881.7
36Terry MclaurinWASWRWR14256.277.1
37Amari CooperDALWRWR15256.177.0
38Lamar JacksonBALQBQB1401.476.9
39Clyde Edwards-HelaireKANRBRB18235.674.2
40Patrick MahomesKANQBQB2393.969.4
41David MontgomeryCHIRBRB19230.669.3
42Allen RobinsonCHIWRWR16247.268.1
43Travis EtienneJAXRBRB20226.965.6
44Brandin CooksHOUWRWR17242.463.3
45Mike EvansTBWRWR18242.463.2
46Kyle PittsATLTETE6191.362.8
47Adam ThielenMINWRWR19241.262.1
48Josh AllenBUFQBQB3385.561.1
49Kyler MurrayARIQBQB4383.959.5
50Cooper KuppLARWRWR20236.557.4
51Darrell HendersonLARRBRB21218.056.7
52Corey DavisNYJWRWR21235.656.5
53Mike GesickiMIATETE7184.155.5
54Ronald Jones IITAMRBRB22216.354.9
55Russell WilsonSEAQBQB5376.451.9
56Mike DavisATLRBRB23212.951.6
57Robert TonyanGBTETE8179.150.5
58Kareem HuntCLERBRB24211.750.4
59CeeDee LambDALWRWR22226.147.0
60Raheem MostertSFORBRB25207.345.9
61Jamaal WilliamsDETRBRB26206.645.3
62D.J. MooreCARWRWR23224.245.1
63James ConnerARIRBRB27206.345.0
64Javonte WilliamsDENRBRB28206.244.9
65Ryan TannehillTENQBQB6366.542.0
66Tyler BoydCINWRWR24220.741.6
67Miles SandersPHIRBRB29202.941.6
68Brandon AiyukSFWRWR25220.040.8
69Chase ClaypoolPITWRWR26215.236.0
70Hunter HenryNETETE9163.134.6
71Tyler HigbeeLARTETE10159.931.3
72David JohnsonHOURBRB30192.531.1
73J.K. DobbinsBALRBRB31192.230.9
74Dak PrescottDALQBQB7355.130.6
75Chris GodwinTBWRWR27209.530.4
76Cole BeasleyBUFWRWR28209.330.2
77Austin HooperCLETETE11157.629.0
78Ja'Marr ChaseCINWRWR29206.727.6
79Tom BradyTAMQBQB8351.126.6
80Cam NewtonNEQBQB9350.926.5
81Noah FantDENTETE12152.624.0
82J.D. McKissicWASRBRB32185.223.9
83Odell Beckham Jr.CLEWRWR30202.923.8
84Logan ThomasWASTETE13151.923.3
85Kenyan DrakeLVRRBRB33184.322.9
86Jeff WilsonSFORBRB34183.422.1
87Diontae JohnsonPITWRWR31200.621.5
88Antonio BrownTBWRWR32200.321.2
89Melvin GordonDENRBRB35182.421.1
90Courtland SuttonDENWRWR33199.820.6
91Aaron RodgersGBQBQB10343.619.2
92Cole KmetCHITETE14147.018.5
93Deshaun WatsonHOUQBQB11342.918.4
94Jonnu SmithNETETE15146.017.4
95Will FullerMIAWRWR34194.615.5
96Marquise BrownBALWRWR35193.614.5
97Irv SmithMINTETE16142.814.2
98Kenny GolladayNYGWRWR36192.813.7
99O.J. HowardTBTETE17141.813.2
100Tua TagovailoaMIAQBQB12337.613.1
101Tarik CohenCHIRBRB36174.012.7
102Allen LazardGBWRWR37191.612.5
103DJ CharkJAXWRWR38191.612.5
104Jerry JeudyDENWRWR39190.411.2
105Michael GallupDALWRWR40190.211.1
106Chase EdmondsARIRBRB37170.08.7
107Robby AndersonCARWRWR41186.97.8
108Justin HerbertLACQBQB13329.55.0
109Jarvis LandryCLEWRWR42184.04.9
110Josh JacobsLVRRBRB38164.73.4
111JuJu Smith-SchusterPITWRWR43181.82.7
112Jameis WinstonNOQBQB14326.31.8
113Devin SingletaryBUFRBRB39162.91.6
114Nyheim HinesINDRBRB40162.31.0
115Zack MossBUFRBRB41162.00.7
116Laviska Shenault Jr.JAXWRWR44178.6-0.5
117Latavius MurrayNORRBRB42159.3-2.0
118Evan EngramNYGTETE18125.9-2.7
119Leonard FournetteTAMRBRB43157.2-4.2
120Dallas GoedertPHITETE19122.2-6.3
121Carson WentzINDQBQB15318.0-6.4
122Parris CampbellINDWRWR45171.7-7.5
123Joe BurrowCINQBQB16316.9-7.6
124Curtis SamuelWASWRWR46170.3-8.8
125Ryan FitzpatrickWASQBQB17315.4-9.0
126Marvin JonesJAXWRWR47170.0-9.1
127Jamison CrowderNYJWRWR48169.7-9.4
128Eric EbronPITTETE20118.9-9.7
129Trevor LawrenceJAXQBQB18314.2-10.2
130Damien HarrisNWERBRB44151.0-10.3
131Jaylen WaddleMIAWRWR49168.3-10.8
132Tony PollardDALRBRB45149.5-11.8
133Jalen HurtsPHIQBQB19311.9-12.5
134Harrison BryantCLETETE21114.5-14.0
135Zach WilsonNYJQBQB20310.4-14.1
136Christian KirkARIWRWR50164.2-15.0
137Tutu AtwellLARWRWR51163.9-15.2
138Dawson KnoxBUFTETE22112.7-15.8
139Jared CookLACTETE23112.2-16.4
140DeVante ParkerMIAWRWR52162.7-16.4
141Keke CouteeHOUWRWR53162.0-17.1
142Dalton SchultzDALTETE24110.8-17.7
143Hunter RenfrowLVRWRWR54160.5-18.6
144Darnell MooneyCHIWRWR55159.8-19.4
145Kirk CousinsMINQBQB21304.0-20.4
146Gabriel DavisBUFWRWR56158.0-21.1
147Matthew StaffordLARQBQB22303.1-21.3
148Drew SampleCINTETE25107.2-21.3
149Michael CarterNYJRBRB46139.6-21.7
150Elijah MooreNYJWRWR57157.2-22.0
151DeVonta SmithPHIWRWR58156.0-23.1
152Drew LockDENQBQB23300.6-23.9
153Jalen ReagorPHIWRWR59155.1-24.0
154Jakobi MeyersNEWRWR60154.9-24.3
155Dwayne EskridgeSEAWRWR61154.5-24.6
156Chris HerndonNYJTETE26103.5-25.1
157Anthony FirkserTENTETE27103.5-25.1
158Jordan AkinsHOUTETE28103.1-25.4
159Ben RoethlisbergerPITQBQB24297.2-27.3
160Mike WilliamsLACWRWR62151.8-27.3
161Preston WilliamsMIAWRWR63151.8-27.3
162Sterling ShepardNYGWRWR64149.9-29.2
163Gerald EverettSEATETE2999.0-29.6
164James WhiteNWERBRB47131.6-29.8
165Baker MayfieldCLEQBQB25294.1-30.3
166Mo Alie-CoxINDTETE3098.1-30.5
167Giovani BernardTAMRBRB48130.8-30.5
168Michael ThomasNOWRWR65148.1-31.0
169Breshad PerrimanDETWRWR66148.1-31.1
170Trey SermonSFORBRB49129.7-31.6
171Denzel MimsNYJWRWR67147.1-32.0
172Sam DarnoldCARQBQB26291.7-32.8
173Justin FieldsCHIQBQB27290.4-34.1
174Rondale MooreARIWRWR68145.0-34.1
175T.Y. HiltonINDWRWR69144.2-35.0
176Tyrell WilliamsDETWRWR70143.2-35.9
177Blake JarwinDALTETE3192.6-36.0
178AJ DillonGNBRBRB50124.4-37.0
179Tre'Quan SmithNOWRWR71140.5-38.6
180Gus EdwardsBALRBRB51122.3-39.0
181Jimmy GaroppoloSFQBQB28285.3-39.1
182Rashod BatemanBALWRWR72138.7-40.4
183Sony MichelNWERBRB52120.4-40.9
184Tim PatrickDENWRWR73138.1-41.0
185Jared GoffDETQBQB29282.9-41.6
186Dan ArnoldCARTETE3286.9-41.7
187Zach ErtzPHITETE3386.7-41.9
188Russell GageATLWRWR74136.0-43.1
189Derek CarrLVRQBQB30281.1-43.4
190Cordarrelle PattersonATLRBRB53116.9-44.4
191Rob GronkowskiTBTETE3482.4-46.2
192Zach PascalINDWRWR75132.9-46.2
193Alexander MattisonMINRBRB54113.3-48.0
194Kadarius ToneyNYGWRWR76130.9-48.2
195Ty JohnsonNYJRBRB55112.7-48.6
196Malcolm BrownMIARBRB56112.3-49.0
197Darius SlaytonNYGWRWR77130.0-49.1
198Will DisslySEATETE3579.3-49.2
199Daniel JonesNYGQBQB31274.2-50.2
200Chuba HubbardCARRBRB57110.9-50.4
201Jerick MckinnonKANRBRB58110.1-51.2
202John BrownLVRWRWR78126.9-52.3
203Nelson AgholorNEWRWR79126.5-52.6
204Devontae BookerNYGRBRB59108.5-52.8
205Mecole HardmanKCWRWR80126.3-52.9
206Michael Pittman Jr.INDWRWR81125.5-53.7
207Marlon MackINDRBRB60106.8-54.5
208Nico CollinsHOUWRWR82124.4-54.8
209Jalen GuytonLACWRWR83123.4-55.7
210Matt RyanATLQBQB32268.4-56.1
211Emmanuel SandersBUFWRWR84121.9-57.2
212Adam TrautmanNOTETE3670.9-57.6
213Kerryon JohnsonPHIRBRB61102.8-58.6
214Justin JacksonLACRBRB62102.6-58.7
215Terrace MarshallCARWRWR85119.7-59.4
216Henry Ruggs IIILVRWRWR86118.6-60.5
217Tyler ConklinMINTETE3766.5-62.1
218James O'ShaughnessyJAXTETE3865.6-63.0
219Joshua KelleyLACRBRB6398.2-63.1
220Chris ConleyHOUWRWR87115.2-63.9
221Mark IngramHOURBRB6493.6-67.7
222Josh ReynoldsTENWRWR88110.9-68.2
223Demarcus RobinsonKCWRWR89110.6-68.5
224Randall CobbGBWRWR90109.1-70.0
225Damiere ByrdCHIWRWR91108.6-70.6
226Phillip LindsayHOURBRB6590.6-70.7
227Boston ScottPHIRBRB6690.0-71.4
228KJ HamlerDENWRWR92107.7-71.5
229Ian ThomasCARTETE3956.2-72.4
230Tevin ColemanNYJRBRB6784.4-76.9
231D'Onta ForemanATLRBRB6883.9-77.4
232N'Keal HarryNEWRWR93101.6-77.5
233Rashard HigginsCLEWRWR94101.0-78.2
234Anthony MillerHOUWRWR95100.4-78.7
235Richie JamesSFWRWR96100.0-79.1
236Carlos HydeJAXRBRB6981.6-79.7
237DeeJay DallasSEARBRB7081.5-79.9
238Damien WilliamsCHIRBRB7181.4-79.9
239James WashingtonPITWRWR9797.6-81.5
240Desean JacksonLARWRWR9896.6-82.5
241Maxx WilliamsARITETE4045.7-82.9
242Geronimo AllisonDETWRWR9995.1-84.0
243Kahale WarringHOUTETE4143.7-84.8
244Deonte HarrisNOWRWR10094.0-85.2
245Samaje PerineCINRBRB7275.8-85.5
246Greg WardPHIWRWR10193.5-85.7
247Olamide ZaccheausATLWRWR10293.1-86.0
248Quintez CephusDETWRWR10391.4-87.7
249Geoff SwaimTENTETE4240.5-88.1
250Steven SimsWASWRWR10490.9-88.2
251Marquez CallawayNOWRWR10590.1-89.0
252Phillip Dorsett IIJAXWRWR10689.4-89.7
253Adam HumphriesWASWRWR10787.8-91.4
254Chad BeebeMINWRWR10887.6-91.5
255Travis FulghamPHIWRWR10986.6-92.5
256Darrel WilliamsKANRBRB7368.8-92.6
257Anthony Mcfarland Jr.PITRBRB7468.7-92.6
258Darrynton EvansTENRBRB7566.6-94.8
259Benny Snell Jr.PITRBRB7661.1-100.3
260A.J. GreenARIWRWR11078.6-100.5
261Lil'Jordan HumphreyNOWRWR11178.5-100.6
262Cornell PowellKCWRWR11278.3-100.8
263Jake FunkLARRBRB7759.3-102.0
264Rashaad PennySEARBRB7857.6-103.8
265Xavier JonesLARRBRB7955.7-105.6
266Peyton BarberWASRBRB8055.2-106.1
267Sammy WatkinsBALWRWR11372.1-107.0
268Jalen RichardLVRRBRB8154.0-107.3